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Red74
93027.8
320619.4
754120.1
Blue66
162519.9
335217.1
52531.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65723040506080901001107466

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#1
27.80.2
26.426.6
Auto3.2
Teleop20.2
End4.4
blue by 3.4
525
#2
31.20.2
31.130.9
Auto5.2
Teleop16.0
End10.0
Second
7541
#10
20.10.4
17.818.1
Auto3.4
Teleop8.5
End8.2
red by 0.2
1625
#24
19.90.3
19.018.7
Auto5.5
Teleop10.6
End3.8
Third
19.40.4
17.517.9
Auto3.6
Teleop9.7
End6.1
red by 2.3
3352
#30
17.10.3
18.418.1
Auto4.9
Teleop9.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
10%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
73%HAB Docking oddsEarned72%HAB Docking oddsEarned