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Red58
621716.5
46910.9
591416.0
Blue44
639122.4
63795.8
590613.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41390102030506070805844

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6217
#21
16.51.3
13.414.6
Auto5.3
Teleop4.8
End6.3
blue by 5.9
6391
#11
22.40.2
20.420.7
Auto5.7
Teleop12.1
End4.6
Second
5914
#17
16.02.1
15.317.4
Auto3.9
Teleop9.1
End3.0
red by 2.6
5906
#40
13.40.4
11.111.5
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End3.5
Third
469
#45
10.91.3
10.411.6
Auto3.6
Teleop5.6
End1.7
red by 5.1
6379
#48
5.80.4
5.86.2
Auto3.0
Teleop1.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed