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Red76
764613.1
52531.2
93027.8
Blue73
392828.3
295718.2
702124.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7369506080901007673

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#2
31.20.5
30.831.2
Auto5.2
Teleop16.0
End10.0
red by 3.0
28.30.8
26.627.3
Auto5.7
Teleop14.7
End7.9
Second
930
#1
27.80.5
25.926.4
Auto3.2
Teleop20.2
End4.4
red by 3.7
24.20.8
22.423.1
Auto4.6
Teleop11.0
End8.6
Third
7646
#19
13.10.7
12.513.1
Auto5.0
Teleop4.5
End3.6
blue by 5.1
2957
#16
18.20.8
16.317.0
Auto4.0
Teleop10.4
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
9%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
87%HAB Docking oddsEarned85%HAB Docking oddsEarned