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Red55
714213.3
252621.6
730912.1
Blue54
741118.2
363320.7
590613.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45522030406070805554

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2526
#14
21.60.8
20.621.4
Auto5.1
Teleop9.8
End6.7
red by 0.9
3633
#42
20.70.2
20.720.8
Auto4.7
Teleop13.1
End2.9
Second
7142
#36
13.31.2
12.713.9
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End3.6
blue by 4.8
7411
#29
18.20.2
16.216.4
Auto3.9
Teleop10.9
End3.4
Third
7309
#23
12.11.2
9.610.7
Auto4.8
Teleop4.3
End3.0
blue by 1.3
5906
#40
13.40.2
12.212.4
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsEarned16%HAB Docking oddsMissed