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Red42
314515.2
213021.8
212225.4
Blue80
691824.4
364733.6
501222.0
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions587540801004280

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.41.5
21.119.6
Auto3.7
Teleop15.2
End6.5
blue by 8.2
33.60.6
29.830.4
Auto5.0
Teleop25.6
End3.0
Second
21.82.5
19.817.3
Auto3.3
Teleop12.2
End6.3
blue by 2.6
24.40.6
22.623.2
Auto4.0
Teleop17.1
End3.3
Third
3145
#20
15.22.5
14.411.9
Auto3.1
Teleop5.8
End6.3
blue by 6.8
22.00.6
19.019.6
Auto5.2
Teleop14.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed8%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed