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Red58
156612.4
775413.7
469826.8
Blue26
730115.4
259416.0
546115.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4946304060705826

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4698
#14
26.80.6
21.822.4
Auto5.2
Teleop17.3
End4.2
red by 10.8
16.01.2
14.813.7
Auto2.6
Teleop10.7
End2.6
Second
7754
#17
13.70.6
12.613.2
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End5.2
blue by 2.3
5461
#19
15.91.2
14.813.7
Auto3.2
Teleop7.5
End5.3
Third
1566
#24
12.41.0
11.712.7
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End1.9
blue by 3.1
7301
#22
15.41.9
13.811.8
Auto3.8
Teleop8.1
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed34%HAB Docking oddsMissed