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Red60
264314.9
156919.6
198334.4
Blue42
587112.9
78959.4
417523.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions654620304050607080906042

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.40.3
30.029.7
Auto6.0
Teleop18.6
End9.8
red by 11.3
23.10.2
18.818.6
Auto4.2
Teleop13.9
End5.0
Second
1569
#13
19.60.5
17.817.3
Auto5.5
Teleop5.8
End8.3
red by 6.7
5871
#25
12.90.1
16.116.0
Auto4.1
Teleop5.8
End3.1
Third
2643
#10
14.90.3
13.713.4
Auto5.0
Teleop6.2
End3.7
red by 5.5
7895
#27
9.40.2
8.88.6
Auto3.2
Teleop3.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
79%HAB Docking oddsMissed57%HAB Docking oddsMissed