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Red46
78959.4
775413.7
635820.0
Blue70
162220.4
546115.9
691824.4
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46622040801004670

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6358
#11
20.00.2
21.621.8
Auto5.3
Teleop11.7
End2.9
blue by 4.5
24.40.8
23.223.9
Auto4.0
Teleop17.1
End3.3
Second
7754
#17
13.70.2
13.213.4
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End5.2
blue by 6.7
1622
#18
20.40.8
21.822.6
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End3.9
Third
7895
#27
9.40.3
8.68.9
Auto3.2
Teleop3.3
End2.9
blue by 6.5
5461
#19
15.90.8
13.714.4
Auto3.2
Teleop7.5
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed57%HAB Docking oddsEarned