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Red33
264314.9
379417.1
214411.8
Blue77
623722.6
212225.4
156919.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43642060803377

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3794
#12
17.10.5
15.414.9
Auto4.9
Teleop7.7
End4.5
blue by 8.3
25.40.4
19.620.0
Auto3.7
Teleop15.2
End6.5
Second
2643
#10
14.90.5
13.412.9
Auto5.0
Teleop6.2
End3.7
blue by 7.7
22.60.4
24.024.4
Auto4.5
Teleop11.3
End6.8
Third
2144
#23
11.80.5
12.011.5
Auto3.1
Teleop6.0
End2.6
blue by 7.9
1569
#13
19.60.7
17.317.9
Auto5.5
Teleop5.8
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed64%HAB Docking oddsEarned