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Red35
206216.2
178115.5
202214.6
Blue45
245115.8
409614.5
665111.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44443638404246483545

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2062
#19
16.20.7
14.013.3
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End2.4
red by 0.4
2451
#32
15.80.4
16.316.7
Auto4.7
Teleop8.7
End2.5
Second
1781
#26
15.50.7
12.812.1
Auto5.4
Teleop6.2
End3.9
red by 1.1
4096
#11
14.50.4
12.713.1
Auto2.7
Teleop7.4
End4.4
Third
2022
#41
14.60.7
14.613.9
Auto3.3
Teleop9.4
End1.9
red by 2.7
6651
#15
11.90.4
12.312.7
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed