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Red49
11120.1
429611.0
348820.6
Blue27
478710.3
21363.2
203912.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423410203050604927

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3488
#14
20.61.0
14.715.7
Auto3.4
Teleop13.3
End3.9
red by 8.3
2039
#36
12.20.5
11.511.0
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End2.5
Second
111
#8
20.11.0
13.114.1
Auto4.4
Teleop11.0
End4.7
red by 9.8
4787
#52
10.30.5
11.310.7
Auto3.3
Teleop3.6
End3.4
Third
4296
#44
11.01.0
12.213.2
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End2.7
red by 7.7
2136
#39
3.20.5
8.98.4
Auto2.8
Teleop-0.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed