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Red53
10113.6
306121.6
584720.6
Blue40
225215.9
283019.1
69068.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444202060805340

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.61.2
13.414.7
Auto4.5
Teleop12.5
End4.6
red by 2.5
2830
#18
19.10.0
16.416.4
Auto5.1
Teleop11.0
End3.0
Second
20.61.2
14.515.8
Auto5.0
Teleop7.7
End7.9
red by 4.7
2252
#35
15.90.0
13.013.0
Auto3.2
Teleop11.3
End1.4
Third
101
#21
13.61.2
13.915.1
Auto5.1
Teleop7.1
End1.4
red by 4.8
6906
#34
8.80.0
10.710.6
Auto3.3
Teleop3.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed