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Red54
584720.6
773816.7
682316.1
Blue58
233822.2
11120.1
409614.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404720305060705458

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.61.8
15.817.5
Auto5.0
Teleop7.7
End7.9
blue by 1.5
22.21.5
17.318.8
Auto3.9
Teleop12.3
End5.9
Second
7738
#22
16.71.8
12.714.5
Auto4.8
Teleop8.0
End3.9
blue by 3.4
111
#8
20.11.5
14.115.6
Auto4.4
Teleop11.0
End4.7
Third
6823
#10
16.11.8
9.511.3
Auto3.5
Teleop8.1
End4.6
red by 1.7
4096
#11
14.51.5
13.114.6
Auto2.7
Teleop7.4
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsEarned28%HAB Docking oddsEarned