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Red20
27096.8
4822.1
47029.6
Blue49
593421.8
203912.2
225215.9
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333910203050602049

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#5
22.11.2
16.715.4
Auto5.2
Teleop11.1
End5.8
red by 0.3
21.81.4
12.814.1
Auto3.7
Teleop13.4
End4.6
Second
4702
#30
9.61.2
8.26.9
Auto3.6
Teleop3.7
End2.3
blue by 6.3
2252
#35
15.91.4
13.014.3
Auto3.2
Teleop11.3
End1.4
Third
2709
#46
6.81.2
6.35.0
Auto1.7
Teleop4.0
End1.1
blue by 5.4
2039
#36
12.21.4
11.012.4
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed