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Red61
188411.1
93022.7
283019.1
Blue49
179715.3
167512.6
69689.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443620304050606149

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#12
22.72.1
15.817.9
Auto3.6
Teleop16.5
End2.5
red by 7.4
1797
#17
15.31.0
11.212.2
Auto3.5
Teleop8.9
End2.9
Second
2830
#18
19.12.1
16.418.5
Auto5.1
Teleop11.0
End3.0
red by 6.5
1675
#28
12.61.0
13.314.3
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End2.1
Third
1884
#33
11.12.1
9.912.0
Auto3.6
Teleop5.3
End2.2
red by 1.9
6968
#48
9.21.0
9.410.4
Auto2.8
Teleop4.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed