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Red40
69689.2
173617.9
409614.5
Blue20
46457.9
306710.5
225215.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4641102030506070804020

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1736
#13
17.90.4
16.215.8
Auto4.7
Teleop8.3
End4.8
red by 2.0
2252
#35
15.92.1
15.213.1
Auto3.2
Teleop11.3
End1.4
Second
4096
#11
14.50.4
14.414.0
Auto2.7
Teleop7.4
End4.4
red by 4.0
3067
#27
10.52.1
11.59.4
Auto1.8
Teleop5.2
End3.4
Third
6968
#48
9.20.4
13.212.7
Auto2.8
Teleop4.6
End1.7
red by 1.3
4645
#38
7.92.1
12.210.1
Auto3.4
Teleop2.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed