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Red46
415613.5
201613.1
369524.3
Blue29
202214.6
31107.7
373411.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443802060804629

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.30.5
14.915.4
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End9.0
red by 9.7
2022
#41
14.60.8
13.112.4
Auto3.3
Teleop9.4
End1.9
Second
13.50.5
11.912.4
Auto4.9
Teleop3.9
End4.7
red by 1.8
3734
#42
11.70.8
11.911.1
Auto2.1
Teleop8.0
End1.5
Third
2016
#45
13.10.5
14.715.2
Auto3.8
Teleop6.0
End3.3
red by 5.4
3110
#50
7.70.8
11.110.3
Auto2.5
Teleop4.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsEarned25%HAB Docking oddsMissed