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Red38
593421.8
582218.3
173910.8
Blue33
773816.7
206216.2
429611.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414134363840424446483833

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.80.1
12.312.2
Auto3.7
Teleop13.4
End4.6
red by 5.1
7738
#22
16.77.6
16.79.1
Auto4.8
Teleop8.0
End3.9
Second
5822
#16
18.30.1
13.813.7
Auto4.9
Teleop9.3
End4.2
red by 2.1
2062
#19
16.21.0
14.914.0
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End2.4
Third
1739
#24
10.80.1
12.612.6
Auto3.8
Teleop4.0
End3.0
blue by 0.1
4296
#44
11.01.0
13.612.7
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed