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Red37
93022.7
51259.9
478710.3
Blue41
723713.7
69068.8
178115.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414030354550553741

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#12
22.70.2
15.215.0
Auto3.6
Teleop16.5
End2.5
red by 7.2
1781
#26
15.50.3
13.313.0
Auto5.4
Teleop6.2
End3.9
Second
4787
#52
10.30.2
12.412.2
Auto3.3
Teleop3.6
End3.4
blue by 3.5
7237
#20
13.70.3
12.211.9
Auto4.1
Teleop6.0
End3.7
Third
5125
#51
9.90.2
11.311.1
Auto4.8
Teleop3.5
End1.6
red by 1.1
6906
#34
8.80.3
12.512.1
Auto3.3
Teleop3.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed