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Red43
665111.9
201613.1
206216.2
Blue77
93022.7
225215.9
429611.0
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4244305060704377

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2062
#19
16.20.4
14.314.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End2.4
blue by 6.5
930
#12
22.71.7
18.720.4
Auto3.6
Teleop16.5
End2.5
Second
2016
#45
13.10.4
13.714.1
Auto3.8
Teleop6.0
End3.3
blue by 2.8
2252
#35
15.91.7
14.015.7
Auto3.2
Teleop11.3
End1.4
Third
6651
#15
11.90.4
11.511.9
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End2.9
red by 1.0
4296
#44
11.01.7
9.210.9
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed