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Red19
42929.4
514812.8
27257.9
Blue3
21512.1
478710.3
31107.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302710204050193

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5148
#23
12.81.0
10.99.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.8
End3.6
red by 2.5
4787
#52
10.32.5
11.69.0
Auto3.3
Teleop3.6
End3.4
Second
4292
#25
9.41.0
10.79.7
Auto4.7
Teleop3.1
End1.5
red by 1.7
3110
#50
7.72.5
9.26.6
Auto2.5
Teleop4.4
End0.8
Third
2725
#37
7.91.0
6.45.4
Auto3.0
Teleop4.1
End0.8
red by 5.8
2151
#47
2.12.5
4.92.4
Auto0.9
Teleop0.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed