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Red99
415613.5
10113.6
179715.3
Blue59
245115.8
11120.1
173617.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4155203050607080909959

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1797
#17
15.30.4
11.311.0
Auto3.5
Teleop8.9
End2.9
blue by 4.8
111
#8
20.10.7
19.320.1
Auto4.4
Teleop11.0
End4.7
Second
101
#21
13.60.4
14.213.8
Auto5.1
Teleop7.1
End1.4
blue by 4.3
1736
#13
17.90.8
16.517.3
Auto4.7
Teleop8.3
End4.8
Third
13.50.4
12.912.5
Auto4.9
Teleop3.9
End4.7
blue by 2.4
2451
#32
15.80.8
16.116.9
Auto4.7
Teleop8.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed41%HAB Docking oddsMissed