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Red52
723713.7
369524.3
75606.9
Blue27
306710.5
773816.7
69689.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473802060805227

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.30.5
22.723.2
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End9.0
red by 7.5
7738
#22
16.71.0
16.315.3
Auto4.8
Teleop8.0
End3.9
Second
7237
#20
13.70.4
13.413.9
Auto4.1
Teleop6.0
End3.7
red by 3.3
3067
#27
10.51.0
8.87.7
Auto1.8
Teleop5.2
End3.4
Third
7560
#49
6.90.4
8.89.2
Auto3.0
Teleop2.1
End1.8
blue by 2.3
6968
#48
9.21.0
11.310.3
Auto2.8
Teleop4.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
41%HAB Docking oddsEarned22%HAB Docking oddsMissed