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Red60
373411.7
348820.6
283019.1
Blue35
173910.8
47029.6
51259.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49310204060806035

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3488
#14
20.61.5
18.520.0
Auto3.4
Teleop13.3
End3.9
red by 9.7
1739
#24
10.80.4
10.910.5
Auto3.8
Teleop4.0
End3.0
Second
2830
#18
19.11.4
18.319.7
Auto5.1
Teleop11.0
End3.0
red by 9.2
5125
#51
9.90.4
10.910.6
Auto4.8
Teleop3.5
End1.6
Third
3734
#42
11.71.5
9.511.0
Auto2.1
Teleop8.0
End1.5
red by 2.1
4702
#30
9.60.4
7.77.3
Auto3.6
Teleop3.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed