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Red35
203912.2
202214.6
42419.9
Blue41
46457.9
233822.2
23588.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434102060803541

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2022
#41
14.60.6
15.214.6
Auto3.3
Teleop9.4
End1.9
blue by 7.6
22.20.2
22.522.8
Auto3.9
Teleop12.3
End5.9
Second
2039
#36
12.20.6
14.113.5
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End2.5
red by 3.9
2358
#31
8.30.2
8.18.3
Auto3.8
Teleop3.2
End1.4
Third
4241
#53
9.90.6
11.010.4
Auto3.3
Teleop4.9
End1.8
red by 2.0
4645
#38
7.90.2
8.38.5
Auto3.4
Teleop2.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed40%HAB Docking oddsMissed