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Red54
201313.9
409619.7
178122.8
Blue56
203921.0
202219.2
128815.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474220305060705456

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1781
#20
22.80.8
16.217.0
Auto5.0
Teleop10.4
End7.4
red by 1.8
21.01.4
14.015.4
Auto5.6
Teleop10.5
End4.9
Second
4096
#22
19.70.8
16.016.8
Auto4.1
Teleop9.3
End6.2
red by 0.5
2022
#18
19.21.3
14.015.3
Auto3.8
Teleop13.1
End2.3
Third
2013
#33
13.90.7
12.012.7
Auto5.2
Teleop5.0
End3.7
blue by 1.2
1288
#15
15.21.2
12.113.3
Auto3.8
Teleop8.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsEarned15%HAB Docking oddsMissed