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Red47
569017.3
173621.1
270411.8
Blue42
784816.4
605519.3
665117.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484320304060704742

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1736
#19
21.10.1
17.817.7
Auto5.4
Teleop11.4
End4.2
red by 1.8
6055
#28
19.30.1
17.017.2
Auto5.2
Teleop11.0
End3.1
Second
5690
#26
17.30.1
13.813.7
Auto5.0
Teleop9.3
End3.0
red by 0.3
6651
#35
17.00.1
12.512.6
Auto3.9
Teleop9.8
End3.4
Third
2704
#38
11.80.1
13.513.4
Auto4.2
Teleop3.4
End4.2
blue by 4.6
7848
#13
16.40.2
10.911.1
Auto4.8
Teleop5.0
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsEarned