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Red43
175626.2
623723.4
27096.9
Blue81
414326.9
425625.1
248122.5
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions397002060801004381

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.20.6
18.218.9
Auto5.5
Teleop12.6
End8.1
blue by 0.7
26.90.8
26.627.4
Auto4.9
Teleop13.8
End8.2
Second
6237
#11
23.40.6
14.815.4
Auto4.9
Teleop10.9
End7.6
blue by 1.7
25.10.8
24.125.0
Auto4.7
Teleop14.9
End5.5
Third
2709
#39
6.90.5
4.44.9
Auto0.9
Teleop3.6
End2.4
blue by 15.5
2481
#10
22.51.3
15.917.1
Auto4.1
Teleop13.7
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsEarned85%HAB Docking oddsEarned