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Red66
235815.5
746511.0
415617.6
Blue71
32325.6
421328.7
109421.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336302040806671

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4156
#17
17.63.1
12.815.9
Auto5.2
Teleop6.2
End6.1
blue by 11.1
28.70.9
24.425.3
Auto5.9
Teleop16.5
End6.2
Second
2358
#29
15.53.1
8.311.4
Auto3.8
Teleop9.4
End2.4
blue by 10.0
323
#25
25.61.0
21.322.3
Auto5.9
Teleop14.2
End5.5
Third
7465
#37
11.00.4
14.313.9
Auto2.8
Teleop5.3
End2.9
blue by 10.0
1094
#21
21.11.2
14.315.5
Auto5.4
Teleop10.7
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsEarned51%HAB Docking oddsMissed