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Red46
584719.6
512614.6
431419.1
Blue51
464613.3
128815.2
605519.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49340102030406070804651

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5847
#14
19.60.1
20.620.5
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End6.8
red by 0.3
6055
#28
19.31.5
15.517.0
Auto5.2
Teleop11.0
End3.1
Second
4314
#24
19.10.1
11.711.6
Auto4.2
Teleop8.6
End6.3
red by 4.0
1288
#15
15.21.3
10.912.1
Auto3.8
Teleop8.7
End2.7
Third
5126
#23
14.60.1
14.414.4
Auto5.6
Teleop4.3
End4.6
red by 1.3
4646
#31
13.31.4
6.07.4
Auto4.9
Teleop5.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
52%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed