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Red50
415617.6
741719.1
425625.1
Blue56
128815.2
173621.1
584719.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61615054565860625056

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.10.5
26.025.5
Auto4.7
Teleop14.9
End5.5
red by 4.0
1736
#19
21.10.1
18.918.8
Auto5.4
Teleop11.4
End4.2
Second
7417
#34
19.10.9
15.514.6
Auto2.8
Teleop12.7
End3.6
blue by 0.5
5847
#14
19.60.1
23.223.1
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End6.8
Third
4156
#17
17.60.5
16.415.9
Auto5.2
Teleop6.2
End6.1
red by 2.4
1288
#15
15.20.1
15.815.7
Auto3.8
Teleop8.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
59%HAB Docking oddsMissed53%HAB Docking oddsMissed