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Red59
582222.1
424113.6
175626.2
Blue77
235815.5
465524.6
132921.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60563040507080905977

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.20.3
24.024.2
Auto5.5
Teleop12.6
End8.1
red by 1.7
24.62.0
20.722.7
Auto5.2
Teleop11.1
End8.3
Second
5822
#16
22.10.2
21.521.7
Auto5.4
Teleop12.3
End4.4
red by 0.7
1329
#30
21.41.2
19.620.8
Auto3.7
Teleop14.1
End3.6
Third
4241
#27
13.60.2
11.011.2
Auto4.3
Teleop6.1
End3.2
blue by 1.9
2358
#29
15.51.2
12.413.6
Auto3.8
Teleop9.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
51%HAB Docking oddsEarned32%HAB Docking oddsEarned