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Red58
605519.3
415617.6
204023.1
Blue26
270411.8
544215.1
369524.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63593040507080905826

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.10.4
23.823.3
Auto5.2
Teleop12.2
End5.8
blue by 1.8
24.92.0
26.424.4
Auto4.5
Teleop12.5
End8.0
Second
6055
#28
19.30.3
19.919.6
Auto5.2
Teleop11.0
End3.1
red by 4.2
5442
#36
15.13.1
15.912.7
Auto3.8
Teleop6.9
End4.4
Third
4156
#17
17.60.3
15.915.6
Auto5.2
Teleop6.2
End6.1
red by 5.8
2704
#38
11.82.9
13.810.9
Auto4.2
Teleop3.4
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
63%HAB Docking oddsEarned88%HAB Docking oddsMissed