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Red35
202219.2
784816.4
42128.3
Blue65
623723.4
235815.5
203921.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4957102030407080903565

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2022
#18
19.20.7
19.018.2
Auto3.8
Teleop13.1
End2.3
blue by 4.2
6237
#11
23.41.1
21.022.1
Auto4.9
Teleop10.9
End7.6
Second
7848
#13
16.41.2
14.813.6
Auto4.8
Teleop5.0
End6.7
blue by 4.6
21.00.7
18.218.9
Auto5.6
Teleop10.5
End4.9
Third
4212
#40
8.31.2
12.411.3
Auto2.1
Teleop4.8
End1.4
blue by 7.2
2358
#29
15.50.7
15.115.9
Auto3.8
Teleop9.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsMissed41%HAB Docking oddsEarned