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Red59
178122.6
164618.9
719819.5
Blue49
349420.3
233823.4
672115.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6462405070805949

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1781
Unranked
22.60.0
22.622.6
Auto5.3
Teleop10.4
End7.0
blue by 0.7
2338
Unranked
23.40.0
23.423.4
Auto3.6
Teleop14.1
End5.7
Second
7198
Unranked
19.50.0
19.519.5
Auto4.7
Teleop8.9
End5.9
blue by 0.8
3494
Unranked
20.30.0
20.320.3
Auto5.0
Teleop9.8
End5.5
Third
1646
Unranked
18.90.0
18.918.9
Auto4.1
Teleop12.0
End2.8
red by 3.7
6721
Unranked
15.20.0
15.215.2
Auto5.4
Teleop7.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket odds3%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
63%HAB Docking odds58%HAB Docking odds