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Red18
501025.0
348719.8
745723.8
Blue20
448516.1
219719.1
409619.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72582040801001820

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5010
Unranked
25.00.0
25.025.0
Auto4.8
Teleop17.4
End2.8
red by 5.6
4096
Unranked
19.30.0
19.319.3
Auto4.4
Teleop9.4
End5.5
Second
7457
Unranked
23.80.0
23.823.8
Auto5.0
Teleop12.5
End6.3
red by 4.7
2197
Unranked
19.10.0
19.119.1
Auto4.8
Teleop9.2
End5.1
Third
3487
Unranked
19.80.0
19.819.8
Auto4.6
Teleop12.1
End3.0
red by 3.6
4485
Unranked
16.10.0
16.116.1
Auto2.8
Teleop10.0
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
14%Rocket odds6%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
75%HAB Docking odds79%HAB Docking odds