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Red38
164618.9
233823.4
99866.3
Blue35
745723.8
761719.1
518817.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions516402040801003835

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2338
Unranked
23.40.0
23.423.4
Auto3.6
Teleop14.1
End5.7
blue by 0.4
7457
Unranked
23.80.0
23.823.8
Auto5.0
Teleop12.5
End6.3
Second
1646
Unranked
18.90.0
18.918.9
Auto4.1
Teleop12.0
End2.8
blue by 0.1
7617
Unranked
19.10.0
19.119.1
Auto3.9
Teleop10.2
End5.0
Third
9986
Unranked
6.30.0
6.36.3
Auto2.5
Teleop1.5
End2.3
blue by 11.4
5188
Unranked
17.70.0
17.717.7
Auto4.7
Teleop10.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket odds6%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking odds82%HAB Docking odds