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Red23
99878.0
152912.4
548426.4
Blue55
348719.8
286721.0
719819.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496402040801002355

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5484
Unranked
26.40.0
26.426.4
Auto5.0
Teleop17.6
End3.8
red by 5.4
2867
Unranked
21.00.0
21.021.0
Auto5.1
Teleop12.4
End3.6
Second
1529
Unranked
12.40.0
12.412.4
Auto4.6
Teleop5.9
End2.0
blue by 7.3
3487
Unranked
19.80.0
19.819.8
Auto4.6
Teleop12.1
End3.0
Third
9987
Unranked
8.00.0
8.08.0
Auto2.6
Teleop3.6
End1.7
blue by 11.5
7198
Unranked
19.50.0
19.519.5
Auto4.7
Teleop8.9
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket odds3%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking odds43%HAB Docking odds