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Red29
409619.3
101820.4
318013.3
Blue55
23422.9
46119.1
761719.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56642040801002955

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1018
Unranked
20.40.0
20.420.4
Auto5.0
Teleop10.8
End4.6
blue by 2.5
234
Unranked
22.90.0
22.922.9
Auto5.3
Teleop12.0
End5.6
Second
4096
Unranked
19.30.0
19.319.3
Auto4.4
Teleop9.4
End5.5
red by 0.2
461
Unranked
19.10.0
19.119.1
Auto5.1
Teleop11.0
End3.1
Third
3180
Unranked
13.30.0
13.313.3
Auto3.7
Teleop8.1
End1.6
blue by 5.7
7617
Unranked
19.10.0
19.119.1
Auto3.9
Teleop10.2
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket odds10%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
48%HAB Docking odds67%HAB Docking odds