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Red36
99878.0
164618.9
348719.8
Blue57
512512.5
233823.4
582222.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496102040801003657

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3487
Unranked
19.80.0
19.819.8
Auto4.6
Teleop12.1
End3.0
blue by 3.6
2338
Unranked
23.40.0
23.423.4
Auto3.6
Teleop14.1
End5.7
Second
1646
Unranked
18.90.0
18.918.9
Auto4.1
Teleop12.0
End2.8
blue by 3.2
5822
Unranked
22.10.0
22.122.1
Auto5.4
Teleop12.3
End4.4
Third
9987
Unranked
8.00.0
8.08.0
Auto2.6
Teleop3.6
End1.7
blue by 4.5
5125
Unranked
12.50.0
12.512.5
Auto5.5
Teleop4.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket odds5%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking odds66%HAB Docking odds