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Red68
518817.5
82926.8
458016.0
Blue43
492621.7
769514.3
672115.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions554930406070806843

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#3
26.81.0
22.623.7
Auto5.6
Teleop13.0
End8.1
red by 5.1
4926
#16
21.70.2
19.619.3
Auto4.2
Teleop12.3
End5.2
Second
5188
#27
17.51.0
18.019.0
Auto5.3
Teleop9.1
End3.1
red by 2.3
6721
#11
15.20.2
12.111.8
Auto5.4
Teleop7.6
End2.2
Third
4580
#28
16.01.0
11.912.9
Auto4.1
Teleop7.8
End4.0
red by 1.7
7695
#32
14.30.2
15.014.8
Auto4.3
Teleop6.6
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
64%HAB Docking oddsMissed44%HAB Docking oddsMissed