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Red59
174118.2
286719.4
448516.1
Blue80
349423.8
86828.4
318013.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54613040507080905980

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2867
#26
19.40.6
21.221.7
Auto4.5
Teleop10.9
End4.0
blue by 9.0
868
#2
28.41.3
25.927.2
Auto4.8
Teleop16.4
End7.3
Second
1741
#21
18.20.6
14.114.6
Auto5.1
Teleop8.5
End4.6
blue by 5.6
23.81.3
19.520.8
Auto5.1
Teleop13.1
End5.7
Third
4485
#31
16.10.6
15.415.9
Auto2.8
Teleop10.0
End3.4
red by 2.8
3180
#29
13.31.3
12.213.5
Auto3.7
Teleop8.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsEarned59%HAB Docking oddsEarned