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Red50
448516.1
458016.0
155512.2
Blue40
29211.2
400810.4
540216.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45453035405055605040

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4485
#31DQ
16.10.5
17.217.6
Auto2.8
Teleop10.0
End3.4
blue by 0.6
5402
#22
16.70.8
16.615.8
Auto5.6
Teleop8.9
End2.2
Second
4580
#28
16.00.5
13.313.8
Auto4.1
Teleop7.8
End4.0
red by 4.8
292
#34
11.20.8
13.712.9
Auto4.0
Teleop4.3
End2.9
Third
1555
#35
12.20.5
12.613.1
Auto4.8
Teleop4.9
End2.5
red by 1.8
4008
#33
10.40.8
12.011.2
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsEarned8%HAB Docking oddsMissed