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Red56
540318.6
548423.5
44716.9
Blue93
645124.6
672115.2
86828.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions656550607080905693

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5484
#14
23.50.3
25.024.6
Auto5.7
Teleop14.8
End3.0
blue by 4.9
868
#2
28.42.0
28.530.5
Auto4.8
Teleop16.4
End7.3
Second
5403
#20
18.60.3
15.815.5
Auto4.1
Teleop12.5
End2.1
blue by 6.0
6451
#15
24.62.0
21.023.1
Auto4.4
Teleop14.3
End5.9
Third
447
#18
16.90.3
20.420.1
Auto4.9
Teleop9.1
End2.9
red by 1.6
6721
#11
15.22.0
12.914.9
Auto5.4
Teleop7.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed80%HAB Docking oddsEarned