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Red49
548423.5
155512.2
645124.6
Blue55
152912.4
518817.5
761716.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6447204060801004955

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6451
#15
24.60.8
23.122.3
Auto4.4
Teleop14.3
End5.9
red by 7.0
5188
#27
17.50.7
16.016.7
Auto5.3
Teleop9.1
End3.1
Second
5484
#14
23.50.8
24.623.8
Auto5.7
Teleop14.8
End3.0
red by 7.0
7617
#12
16.50.7
16.517.2
Auto3.5
Teleop8.0
End4.9
Third
1555
#35
12.20.8
13.112.3
Auto4.8
Teleop4.9
End2.5
blue by 0.2
1529
#23
12.40.7
11.612.3
Auto4.6
Teleop5.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsMissed35%HAB Docking oddsMissed