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Red40
348719.8
400810.4
672115.2
Blue60
174118.2
492621.7
594419.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515602040801004060

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3487
#30
19.80.7
21.320.6
Auto4.6
Teleop12.1
End3.0
blue by 1.9
4926
#16
21.70.4
18.318.7
Auto4.2
Teleop12.3
End5.2
Second
6721
#11
15.20.7
15.314.6
Auto5.4
Teleop7.6
End2.2
blue by 4.1
5944
#25
19.40.4
17.117.5
Auto4.4
Teleop12.7
End2.3
Third
4008
#33
10.40.7
11.210.5
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End1.7
blue by 7.8
1741
#21
18.20.4
17.918.3
Auto5.1
Teleop8.5
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed39%HAB Docking oddsMissed