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Red49
548423.5
448516.1
394719.0
Blue53
540216.7
540318.6
769514.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6449203040607080904953

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5484
#14
23.50.8
23.823.1
Auto5.7
Teleop14.8
End3.0
red by 4.9
5403
#20
18.60.5
16.216.7
Auto4.1
Teleop12.5
End2.1
Second
19.00.8
19.518.7
Auto4.3
Teleop9.2
End5.4
red by 2.3
5402
#22
16.70.5
15.516.0
Auto5.6
Teleop8.9
End2.2
Third
4485
#31
16.10.8
17.416.6
Auto2.8
Teleop10.0
End3.4
red by 1.9
7695
#32
14.30.5
14.414.8
Auto4.3
Teleop6.6
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
59%HAB Docking oddsMissed7%HAB Docking oddsMissed