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Red35
29215.9
286720.2
355916.7
Blue41
765714.4
102415.6
410320.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414810203060703541

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2867
#24
20.20.4
14.414.0
Auto5.3
Teleop10.9
End4.0
blue by 0.2
4103
#15
20.30.5
20.019.4
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End3.7
Second
3559
#14
16.70.4
11.811.4
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End3.9
red by 1.1
1024
#31
15.60.5
18.017.5
Auto6.2
Teleop7.4
End2.0
Third
292
#19
15.90.4
12.412.0
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End2.9
red by 1.6
7657
#29
14.40.5
7.97.4
Auto3.3
Teleop7.0
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed