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Red44
4517.8
747710.4
394719.9
Blue54
394024.2
745420.6
750216.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3238102050604454

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3947
#11
19.91.2
12.513.8
Auto5.2
Teleop9.7
End5.0
blue by 4.3
3940
#10
24.22.0
12.414.4
Auto3.6
Teleop14.6
End6.0
Second
45
#41
17.81.2
12.213.4
Auto3.8
Teleop10.8
End3.1
blue by 2.8
20.62.0
13.415.4
Auto4.8
Teleop11.9
End4.0
Third
7477
#39
10.41.2
5.26.4
Auto4.8
Teleop2.2
End3.4
blue by 6.0
7502
#23
16.42.0
10.212.2
Auto4.8
Teleop8.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed