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Red59
23427.5
174113.5
427222.0
Blue27
219715.2
21719.4
769514.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53372030607080905927

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#1
27.50.0
19.119.1
Auto5.4
Teleop14.9
End7.1
red by 12.2
2197
#28
15.20.9
11.810.9
Auto4.3
Teleop8.4
End2.5
Second
22.00.0
18.718.7
Auto5.5
Teleop12.0
End4.4
red by 8.0
7695
#42
14.00.9
9.78.8
Auto4.1
Teleop6.9
End3.0
Third
1741
#16
13.50.0
12.112.1
Auto5.0
Teleop4.6
End4.0
red by 4.2
2171
#33
9.40.9
13.712.8
Auto4.5
Teleop2.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsEarned12%HAB Docking oddsMissed